A Quantitative Assessment of the Proposed China-Georgia Free Trade Agreement

Michael Fuenfzig

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper discusses the proposed China-Georgia free trade agreement and provides quantitative estimates of its economic effects. The proposed free trade agreement would more than double trade flows between China and Georgia over a time horizon of ten to fifteen years, and would increase Georgian GDP per capita by about 1.5 percent. Chinese exports to Georgia would increase by about 20 to 30 percent, and Chinese GDP per capita would remain virtually unchanged. While these estimates have to be treated with extreme caution, they should serve as a motivation to continue negotiations on the free trade agreement.

Keywords: Free trade agreement; impact assessment; gravity equation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F14 F15 F17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-int
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:78040

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