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Nexuses between economic factors and stock returns in China

Muhammad Khan (), Jian -Zhou Teng, Javed Parviaz and Sunil Kumar Chaudhary

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Economist and stock managers always focus on stock market return. This study investigated short and long run relationship between economic factors and stock returns in China by applying ARDL approach from 01/2000 to 12/2016. Estimated results of bound test for co-integration shows that long run relationships exist among the variables except inflation rate. Results of short and long run ARDL demonstrate that exchange rate and inflation rate have positive effect on stock returns in China while interest rate have negative effect on stock returns. Results indicate that stock returns in China are very sensitive and can be affected positively or negatively with increase and decrease in economic factors. Both local and regional factors in China can directly and indirectly explain Shanghai Stock Exchange stock returns.

Keywords: stock returns; economic factors; ARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E4 G10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk, nep-mac and nep-tra
Date: 2017-08-05, Revised 2017-08-21
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Published in International Journal of Economics and Finance 9.9(2017): pp. 182-191

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