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Bangladesh’s Trade Partners and the J-Curve: An Asymmetry Analysis

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee (), Mir Obaidur Rahman and Muhammad Kashem

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Separating currency appreciations from depreciations and using nonlinear models in recent literature have improved discovering significant link between the trade balance and the exchange rate. We add to this growing literature by considering the experience of Bangladesh with 11 trading partners. When a linear model was used, support for the J-curve effect was present only with one small partner. However, when a nonlinear model was used, support increased to three countries including the largest partner, the U.S. which accounts for more than 12% of Bangladesh’s trade. Furthermore, the nonlinear models supported short-run asymmetry adjustment as well as short-run asymmetry effects of exchange rate changes in most cases. However, long-run asymmetric effects were limited to a few.

Keywords: Bangladesh; Taka; J-curve; Asymmetry Analysis; 11 Partners (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-08-06, Revised 2017-09-07
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