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Leading Indicators of Currency and Banking Crises: Croatia and the World

Amina Ahec Šonje

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The balance of payments crises that have shaken the world in the last two decades have awakened interest in academic and political circles in creating systems for discovering the causes of the disturbances that end in currency crisis. If disturbances on foreign exchange markets could be identified early enough, there might be enough time for policymakers to take measures to avoid or at least diminish the severity of such crises. With this in mind, the present work attempts to develop such a system of early warning for currency crises in Croatia.

Keywords: currency crises; banking crises; signals approach; early warning indicators for currency and banking crises (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F32 F47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999-02-01
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Published in Croatian Economic Survey 4.1(2002): pp. 273-313

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