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The Rise and Fall of Unproductive Activities in the US Economy 1964-2015: Facts, Theory and Empirical Evidence

Lefteris Tsoulfidis (), Achilleas Tsimis and Dimitris Paitaridis

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The general idea about unproductive labour and the associated with it activities is that they tend to expand and by expanding reduce the investible product and the growth potential of the economy, however little is known about the determinants of their movement. In this study, we take a closer look at the US unproductive labour and activities in general during the long enough 1964-2015 period. As possible determinants of the movement of unproductive activities we consider the economy-wide average rate of profit, the real interest rate and the degree of capacity utilization. The Toda Yamamoto causality tests, as well as the ARDL econometric model, lend support to the view that the unproductive expenditures and activities are determined rather than determine the above variables. Furthermore, the error correction term indicates that a long-run equilibrium relationship exists and it is attainable after the passage of not too long time.

Keywords: Unproductive expenditures; rate of profit; Great recession; ARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: B12 B13 B14 B19 B2 B22 B5 C51 D33 E11 N12 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hme, nep-hpe and nep-mac
Date: 2018-01-20
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