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Demographic Change and Political Polarization in the United States

Levi Boxell

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: I construct an index of political polarization using seven previously proposed measures. I estimate the relative propensity for polarization across demographic groups in a regression framework and examine the extent to which demographic change can explain recent trends in polarization. Assuming fixed propensities for polarization, I estimate that 25 to 59 percent of the change in polarization between 1984 and 2016 can be attributed to demographic change in the United States.

Keywords: political polarization; demographic change; affect polarization; ideological polarization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 H89 J10 J11 Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-dem and nep-pol
Date: 2018-03-24
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:85589

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