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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Growth in Pakistan: The ARDL Approach

Nilofer Nilofer and Abdul Qayyum

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Investment is vital ingredients of growth in an economy. Saving contributes to investment which contributes to physical and human capital formation both of which promote growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of a country. This study aims at determining the role of the three types of investment i.e., public, private and foreign direct investment (FDI) in the growth of Pakistan economy with a special focus on the contribution of FDI in GDP growth of the Pakistan. Cointegration analysis of time series data was used to analyze model. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach has been used to analyze the long run relationship between GDP growth, investment and government expenditure for Pakistan using data (1970-2015). The results indicate that while public and private investment and lending rate have a positive impact on growth, public consumption and FDI decelerate GDP growth. Also the investor confidence should be bolstered by improving the law and order and security situation of the country and introducing investment friendly policies to further harness the positive impact of investment on growth.

Keywords: Investment; FDI; Growth; Cointegration; Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model; Bounds Testing; Pakistan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018, Revised 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets, nep-fdg, nep-int and nep-mac
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