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Monetary Policy Announcements and Market Interest Rates’ Response: Evidence from China

Rongrong Sun ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper uses the event study to estimate the impact of various monetary policy announcements on market interest rates in China over the 2002-2017 period. I find that financial markets understand the quantitative signals better: the market response to an announced adjustment of the regulated retail interest rate and the required reserve ratio is positive and significant at all maturities of bond rates, but smaller at the long end of the yield curve. However, the market barely responds to announced changes in the qualitative policy stance index, which contains limited vague information and is easily anticipated. Two newly introduced central bank lending rates do not appear to be sufficient to replace the retail interest rate and the reserve ratio in guiding market rates in the post-deregulation era. My results suggest that the PBC adopts a publicly announced short-term interest-rate operating target regime, similar to the Fed’s federal funds rate target.

Keywords: announcement effect; event study; monetary policy; monetary transmission; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-tra
Date: 2018-04
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
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Working Paper: Monetary Policy Announcements and Market Interest Rates Response: Evidence from China (2018) Downloads
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