Scenarios for sustainable heat supply in cities – case of Helsingor, Denmark

Sara Ben Amer-Allam, Marie Münster and Stefan Petrović

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Local climate action is not only a domain of large cities, but also smaller urban areas that increasingly address climate change mitigation in their policy. The Danish municipality of Helsingør can achieve substantial CO2 emission reduction by transforming its heat supply and deploying heat savings. In the paper we model the heating system of Helsingør from a socio- and private-economic perspective, develop future scenarios, and conduct an iterative process to derive optimal mix between district heating, individual heating and heat savings. The results show that in 2030 it is cost-optimal to reduce the heating demand by 20-39% by implementing heat savings, to deploy 33%-41% of district heating and reduce heating-related CO2 emissions by up to 95% compared to now. In 2050, the cost-optimal share of district heating in Helsingør is between 38-44%. The resulting average heating costs and CO2 emissions are found to be sensitive to biomass and electricity price. Although the findings of the study are mainly applicable for Helsingør, the combined use of the Least Cost Tool and modelling with energyPRO is useful in planning of any heating and/or cooling supply and demand configuration, in any geographical region and scale

Keywords: heat savings; district heating; individual heating; CO2 emission reduction; energyPRO; Least Cost Tool (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-12
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/93194/1/MPRA_paper_93194.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/93200/1/MPRA_paper_93200.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:93194

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().