Co-movement in tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

Troy Lorde and Winston Moore

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Although the Caribbean is often seen as a homogenous group of tourist destinations, this is not the case. Countries across the region differ in terms of their key source markets, infrastructural development of their industry and the sources of economic shocks. This paper investigates, through the use of univariate and multivariate time series techniques and monthly data from 1977 to 2002, whether tourist arrivals to the Caribbean have been converging and if there is stable relationship between the tourist cycles in each country. If arrivals to the Caribbean are converging over time, differences between countries, in terms of tourism penetration, should decline. The empirical results presented in the paper suggest that there is no convergence in levels, but in the rates of growth. There also exists a stable long run relationship between the rates of growth of tourist arrivals to various Caribbean countries.

Keywords: convergence; stability; tourist arrivals; Caribbean (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 L83 O54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-11-07
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Published in Tourism Economics 3.14(2008): pp. 631-643

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Related works:
Journal Article: Co-Movement in Tourist Arrivals in the Caribbean (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:95598

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