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Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018?

Was it still "the economy, stupid!" in 2016 and 2018?

Peter Kurrild-Klitgaard

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: US elections are often interpreted in an anecdotal and person focused manner by media and commentators, while social science research consistently has found that economic conditions play a very large role, while others play a small one. An analysis US presidential and midterm elections 1948-2018 demonstrate that the presidential election of 2016 and the midterm elections of 2018 generally fits well into a logic that voters hold the presidential party responsible for the economic development, while there also is a cost of ruling.

Keywords: US elections; economic voting; Donald Trump; US presidential election 2016; US midterm election 2018 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 N12 N42 O51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his
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Published in Samfundsøkonomen 3.2019(2019): pp. 17-30

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