Projection des taux de fécondité de la population algérienne à l’horizon 2050

Forecasting the age-specific fertility rates of the Algerian population up to 2050

Farid Flici

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper aims at forecasting the fertility age pattern of the Algerian population up to 2050. To this end, we use the Lee-Carter model in his fertility-adapted version. The used data is issued from the publications of the Office of National Statistics for the period from 1964 to 2014. Missing data were estimated with an S-logistic function.

Keywords: Fertility; forecasting; Lee-Carter; Algeria. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 J11 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-07
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:99077

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