City Shapes' Contribution to Why Donald Trump Won

Kristof Dascher

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper identifies (unobservable) centrists and decentrists. Centrists support, whereas decentrists oppose, taxing carbon. The paper divides into two parts. Its theory derives estimators of centrists and decentrists; its empirical part provides estimates for U.S. metros and takes them to the 2008 and 2016 U.S. presidential elections. The paper finds that Donald Trump's shift away from the consensus on global warming has gained him 280,000 votes he else would not have enjoyed, in cities where decentrists were strong. The paper concludes that sprawling (compact) cities are less (more) likely to embrace carbon taxation, and provides a new rationale for globally advocating compact urban planning.

Keywords: Compact City; Global Warming; Carbon Taxation; 2016 US Presidential Election (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 Q54 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:99290

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