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Uncertainty and Tourism in Africa

Carolyn Chisadza (), Matthew Clance (), Rangan Gupta () and Peter Wanke ()
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Carolyn Chisadza: Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X20, Hateld 0028, South Africa
Peter Wanke: COPPEAD Graduate Business School, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rua Paschoal Lemme, 355, Rio de Janeiro CEP 21949-900, Brazil

No 202019, Working Papers from University of Pretoria, Department of Economics

Abstract: Tourism growth is on the rise in Africa, and yet limited empirical evidence exists that explores the factors that drive this important contributor of economic growth on the continent. Previous literature focusses mainly on developed countries. This study weighs in on the recent debate on African tourism by providing evidence on the role that economic uncertainties have on tourist arrivals. Using panel data from 1996 to 2017, we find that economic uncertainties reduce tourist arrivals in Africa in comparison to other global regions, such as Europe and Latin America. Further disaggregation by African regions reveals that economic uncertainties in the north, south and west regions drive these adverse results. These regions have been the hardest hit by political instability and social unrest during the period under review, which may have acted as a deterrent to tourists.

Keywords: panel data; uncertainty; tourism; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 Z32 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 16 pages
Date: 2020-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-int and nep-tur
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pre:wpaper:202019

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