The Causes and Consequences of Refugee Flows: A Contemporary Re-Analysis

Andrew Shaver, Benjamin Krick, Judy Blancaflor, Sarah Ku and Xavier Liu
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Andrew Shaver: University of California, Merced
Benjamin Krick: Political Violence Lab
Judy Blancaflor: Political Violence Lab
Sarah Ku: Political Violence Lab
Xavier Liu: Political Violence Lab

Empirical Studies of Conflict Project (ESOC) Working Papers from Empirical Studies of Conflict Project

Abstract: The world faces a forcible displacement crisis. Across the world, tens of millions of individuals have been forced from their homes and across international boundaries. The causes and consequences of refugee flows are, therefore, the subjects of significant social science inquiry. Unfortunately, historical lack of reliable data on actual refugee flows has significantly limited empirical inferences on these topics. Using data newly released by the United Nations on annual dyadic flows, we replicate twenty-seven studies published in economics and political science journals on the causes and consequences of these flows. We extend fourteen of these. We find that some of the causes of flows described in the literature are less substantively and/or statistically significant than previously reported while others are more. Generally, with some exceptions, we find that previously reported effects of refugees on security conditions are attenuated, suggesting that the literature’s predominant focus on refugees as sources of violent instability may be overstated.

Keywords: Refugees; Asylum Seekers; Terrorism; Civil War (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F22 H56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem and nep-mig
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pri:esocpu:29

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