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The Minimum Wage Effects on Earnings and Sorting

Suphanit Piyapromdee, Tanisa Tawichsri and Nada Wasi

No 222, PIER Discussion Papers from Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: We study Thailand’s 2012–2013 nationwide minimum-wage reform, which raised wage floors by over 40 percent. Using matched employer–employee data and a discrete-type model of wages and mobility, we estimate effects on earnings, employment, and sorting. Earnings rise sharply at the bottom with spillovers above the new minimum; employment effects are modest and concentrated among the long-term non-employed. Simulations show sizable lifetime-earnings gains, mainly from higher wages and mobility for high-turnover workers. Entry wages rise for low- and mid-wage workers, but tenure growth flattens most for mid-wage workers. Assortative matching weakens, and wage-based upgrading need not align with revealed job preferences.

Keywords: Minimum wage; Worker–firm sorting; Job mobility; Wage dynamics; Matched employer–employee data; Revealed preferences; Lifetime earnings (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J31 J38 J60 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2024-10, Revised 2026-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lma and nep-sea
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