Corporate Debt Maturity and Future Firm Performance Volatility
Meg Adachi-Sato and
Chaiporn Vithessonthi ()
No 29, PIER Discussion Papers from Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research
Abstract:
We propose a simple idea that corporate debt maturity should serve as a good indicator of future firm performance volatility. We show in a simple two-period model that the riskiness of corporate investment is a decreasing function of corporate debt maturity. If “observable†corporate debt maturity and ex ante “unobservable†corporate risk-taking is highly correlated, corporate debt maturity should be highly correlated with “ex post†realized firm performance volatility in following years. Using data on publicly listed firms in 10 developing and developed countries over the period 1991–2013, we find that future firm operating performance volatility decreases as corporate debt maturity increases and that future firm value volatility is not associated with corporate debt maturity. In addition, banking sector development and export intensity of a country play an important role in determining firm operating performance volatility.
Keywords: Debt maturity; Developing Countries; Developed Countries; Firm Performance Volatility; Investment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 F4 G1 G30 G31 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53 pages
Date: 2016-05
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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Journal Article: Corporate debt maturity and future firm performance volatility (2019) 
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