An Analysis of Own Account Trading by Dual Traders in Futures Markets: A Bayesian Approach

Sugato Chakravarty () and Kai Li ()

Purdue University Economics Working Papers from Purdue University, Department of Economics

Abstract: Using an audit trail transaction data set compiled by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), we seek to ascertain directly the motives behind dual traders own account trading and whether or not they are informed traders. We estimate our system of equations on each of the 101 most active dual traders in the data, using the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. We find that dual traders are informed traders who do not appear to piggyback off their customers trades; whose own account trading reflects inventory control; and who appear to be liquidity suppliers. We also show that dual traders are heterogeneous in terms of their trading skills and other trade-related characteristics.

Keywords: informed trader; liquidity supplier; inventory control; endogeneity; heterogeneity; Markov chain Monte Carlo; simultaneous equations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C15 C35 G20 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 52 pages
Date: 2000-02
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pur:prukra:1127

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