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Tax Analysis and Revenue Forecasting

Glenn Jenkins (), Chun-Yan Kuo and Gangadhar Shukla
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Chun-Yan Kuo: Queen's University, Kingston, On, Canada
Gangadhar Shukla: Development Associate at the Harvard Institute for International Development, Harvard University

No 2000-05, Development Discussion Papers from JDI Executive Programs

Abstract: Tax analysis and forecasting of revenues are of critical importance to governments in ensuring stability in tax and expenditure policies. To augment timely and effective analysis of the revenue aspects of the fiscal policy, governments have increasingly turned toward in-house tax policy units rather than relying on tax experts from outside their countries. These tax policy units have been increasingly called upon to analyze the impact of tax policies on the economy and to estimate the revenue implications of tax measures, with the ultimate objective of ensuring a healthy fiscal situation within the economy. Tax policy units also help ensure that tax systems are efficient, fair, and simple to understand and comply with. Such systems help to create an economic environment that is conducive to greater social justice. This manual provides a basic set of guidelines in both theory and practice to carry out this analysis.

Keywords: revenue forecasting; tax analysis; tax modeling; revenue collection; tax expenditure analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H20 H21 H24 H25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 191 pages
Date: 2000-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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