Working Papers

From South African Reserve Bank
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11077: Whose inflation expectations forecast best Alternatives based on survey and financial data

Monique Reid and Pierre Siklos

11075: How can agency banking deepen financial inclusion in South Africa

Lwanga Elizabeth Nanziri and Paul Terna Gbahabo

11074: Joint estimation of liquidity and credit risk premia in bond prices with an application

Jens H. E. Christensen and Daan Steenkamp

11073: Digital assets in payments and transaction banking

Alistair Milne and Vivienne Lawack

11072: The bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission in South Africa

Ekaterina Pirozhkova and Nicola Viegi

11071: The longrun effects of cash transfers on labour market outcomes

Neryvia Pillay, Chloe Allison and Kathryn Bankart

11070: The effects of Basel III capital and liquidity requirements on the growth of banking functions performed by nonbank financial institutions and fintech platforms in South Africa

Chimwemwe Chipeta and Lerato Mapela

11069: Regulation and bank lending in South Africa a narrative index approach

Xolani Sibande, Dumakude Nxumalo, Keaoleboga Mncube, Steve Koch and Nicola Viegi

11068: From deliberate sample to representative sample pilot study for the BER inflation expectations survey

Monique Reid, Dieter von Fintel and Anis Foresto

11067: Basel III regulations and financing decisions of nonfinancial firms the South African evidence

Tesfaye T Lemma, Michael Machokoto and Tendai Gwatidzo

11066: Reevaluating South Africas export sophistication from a valueadded perspective

Guannan Miao and Fons Strik

11065: Transition and systemic risk in the South African banking sector assessment and macroprudential options

Pierre Monnin, Ayanda Sikhosana and Kerschyl Singh

11064: The impact of bank regulation on commercial bank performance evidence from South Africa

Tendai Gwatidzo

11063: The impact of liquidity on bank lending in South Africa

Barbara Casu, Laura Chiaramonte and Doriana Cucinelli

11062: Macroprudential policy and credit allocation evidence from South Africa

Serena Merrino, Keagile Lesame and Ilias Chondrogiannis

11061: Financial inclusion and banking sector competition in South Africa

Tendai Gwatidzo and Witness Simbanegavi

11060: Did Basel III reduce bank spillovers in South Africa

Serena Merrino and Ilias Chondrogiannis

11059: Bank business model identification evolution and outcomes evidence for South Africa

John O S Wilson, Linh Nguyen, Anna Sobiech and Lechedzani Kgari

11058: Firm level expectations and macroeconomic conditions underpinnings and disagreement

Monique Reid and Pierre Siklos

11057: Cash transfers and prices what is the impact of social welfare on prices

Chloe Allison and Neryvia Pillay

11056: The lending implications of banks holding excess capital

Neryvia Pillay and Konstantin Makrelov

11055: The impact of Basel III implementation on bank lending in South Africa

Xolani Sibande and Alistair Milne

11054: Can monetary and fiscal policy account for South Africas economic stagnation

Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi

11053: Monetary policy and herding behaviour in the ZAR market

Xolani Sibande

11052: A network approach to interbank contagion risk in South Africa

Pierre Nkou Mananga, Shiqiang Lin and Hairui Zhang

11051: The inherent uncertainties in output gap estimation a South African perspective

Cobus Vermeulen

11050: Rationality and biases insights from disaggregated firm level inflation expectations data

Monique Reid and Pierre Siklos

11049: Less sacrifice from collective to competitive price coordination in the South African economy

Christopher Loewald and Nic Spearman Andreas Wrgtter

11048: Enhancing the Quarterly Projection Model

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Jeffrey Rakgalakane, Luchelle Soobyah and Rudi Steinbach

11047: Dividends policy and payouts evidence from South Africa

Ciaran Driver, Anna Grosman, Pasquale Scaramozzino and Keagile Lesame

11046: Is South Africa falling into a fiscal dominant regime

Luchelle Soobyah, Mulalo Mamburu and Nicola Viegi

11045: South Africas integration into global value chains status risks and challenges

Guannan Miao

11044: EnhancingtheQuarterlyProjectionModel

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Jeffrey Rakgalakane and Luchelle Soobyah Rudi Steinbach

11043: Investigating unemployment hysteresis in South Africa

Nicola Viegi and Vincent Dadam

11042: DividendspolicyandpayoutsevidencefromSouthAfrica

Ciaran Driver, Anna Grosman, Pasquale Scaramozzino and Keagile Lesame

11041: IsSouthAfricafallingintoafiscaldominantregime

Luchelle Soobyah, Mulalo Mamburu and Nicola Viegi

11040: SouthAfricasintegrationintoglobalvaluechainsstatusrisksandchallenges

Guannan Miao

11039: Analysing the spillover effects of the South African Reserve Banks bond purchase programme

Rhea Choudhary

11038: Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Neryvia Pillay and Johannes Fedderke

11037: Optimal interest rate gaps for flexible inflation targeting

Eric Schaling and Kgotso Morema

11036: The consumer price effects of specific trade policy restrictions in South Africa

Lawrence Edwards, Zaakirah Ismail, Godfrey Kamutando, Simbarashe Mambara, Matthew Stern and Fouche

11035: Can information on the distribution of ZAR returns be used to improve SARBs ZAR forecasts

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

11034: The implications of national and international carbon pricing policies for the South African Reserve Bank

Luca Deidda and Laurence Harris

11033: Leaning against the wind with fiscal and monetary policy

Shaun de Jager, Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov and Xolani Sibande

11032: The cost of complying with Basel III liquidity regulations for South African banks

Howard Diesel, Mukelani Nkuna, Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

11031: Can National Treasury do contractionary monetary policy

Luchelle Soobyah and Nicola Viegi

11030: A climate change modelling framework for financial stress testing in Southern Africa

Vafa Anvari, Channing Arndt, Faaiqa Hartley, Konstantin Makrelov, Kenneth Strezepek, Timothy Thomas, Sherwin Gabriel and Bruno Merven

11029: The short term costs of reducing trend inflation in South Africa

Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov and Ekaterina Pirozhkova

11028: Technological developments to address climate change in South Technological developments to address climate change in South Africa and their potential economic impacts

Jarrad Wright

11027: A banklevel analysis of interest rate passthrough in South Africa

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld