Working Papers

From South African Reserve Bank
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11037: Optimal interest rate gaps for flexible inflation targeting

Eric Schaling and Kgotso Morema

11036: The consumer price effects of specific trade policy restrictions in South Africa

Lawrence Edwards, Zaakirah Ismail, Godfrey Kamutando, Simbarashe Mambara, Matthew Stern and Fouche

11035: Can information on the distribution of ZAR returns be used to improve SARBs ZAR forecasts

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

11034: The implications of national and international carbon pricing policies for the South African Reserve Bank

Luca Deidda and Laurence Harris

11033: Leaning against the wind with fiscal and monetary policy

Shaun de Jager, Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov and Xolani Sibande

11032: The cost of complying with Basel III liquidity regulations for South African banks

Howard Diesel, Mukelani Nkuna, Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

11031: Can National Treasury do contractionary monetary policy

Luchelle Soobyah and Nicola Viegi

11030: A climate change modelling framework for financial stress testing in Southern Africa

Vafa Anvari, Channing Arndt, Faaiqa Hartley, Konstantin Makrelov, Kenneth Strezepek, Timothy Thomas, Sherwin Gabriel and Bruno Merven

11029: The short term costs of reducing trend inflation in South Africa

Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov and Ekaterina Pirozhkova

11028: Technological developments to address climate change in South Technological developments to address climate change in South Africa and their potential economic impacts

Jarrad Wright

11027: A banklevel analysis of interest rate passthrough in South Africa

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

11026: Not so easy why quantitative easing is inappropriate for South Africa

David Fowkes

11025: Analysing the spillover effects of the South African Reserve Banks bond purchase programme

Rhea Choudhary

11024: The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

Roy Havemann, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

11023: Building back fairer from the COVID19 pandemic in South Africa Some firststep reforms in an era of fiscal constraints

Channing Arndt, Robert J. Davies, Sherwin Gabriel, Laurence Harris, Michael Sachs and Dirk van Seventer

11022: Big data forecasting of South African inflation

Byron Botha, Rulof Burger, Kevin Kotz, Neil Rankin and Daan Steenkamp

11021: Macro works applying integrated policy frameworks to South Africa

Christopher Loewald

11020: Shortterm impacts and interaction of macroprudential policy tools

Shaun de Jager, Riaan Ehlers, Keabetswe Mojapelo and Pieter Pienaar

11019: Tariffs on basic foods evolution and impacts

Neva Seidman Makgetla

11018: Wage inequality under inflationtargeting in South Africa

Serena Merrino

11017: Understanding South Africas trade policy and performance

Matthew Stern and Yash Ramkolowan

11016: Macro works applying integrated policy frameworks to South Africa

Christopher Loewald

11015: Statedependent fiscal multipliers and financial dynamics An impulse response analysis by local projections for South Africa

Serena Merrino

11014: Risk and Return Spillovers in a Global Model of the Foreign Exchange Network

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

11013: Identifying SteadyState Growth and Inflation in the South African Economy 19602020

Johannes Fedderke

11012: Identifying Supply and Demand Shocks in the South African Economy 19602020

Johannes Fedderke

11011: Human Capital and the Timing of the First Birth

Jesse Naidoo

11010: Building a competitive and dynamic green industrial sector in South Africa after COVID19

Tendai Gwatidzo and Witness Simbanegavi

11009: Macro works a decisiontree approach to exchange rate policy

Christopher Loewald

11008: Addressing low labour utilisation in South Africa

Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov and Andreas Wrgtter

11007: Fiscal multipliers in South Africa after the global financial crisis

Theo Janse van Rensburg, Shaun de Jager and Konstantin Makrelov

11006: Sailing into the Wind evaluating the near future of Monetary Policy in South Africa

Tumisang Loate, Ekaterina Pirozhkova and Nicola Viegi

11005: Estimates of banklevel funding costs in South Africa

Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

11004: Measuring Systemic Risk in South African Banks

Somnath Chatterjee and Marea Sing

11003: How firms and experts view the Phillips curve evidence from individual and aggregate data from South Africa

Monique B Reid and Pierre Siklos

11002: Taxpayer responsiveness to taxation Evidence from bunching at kink points of the South African income tax schedule

Neryvia Pillay

11001: Nowcasting South African GDP using a suite of statistical models

Byron Botha, Geordie Reid, Tim Olds, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

10421: Time consistency and economic growth a case study of south african macroeconomic policy

Christopher Loewald, David Faulkner and Konstantin Makrelov

10225: Commodity Prices and Policy Stabilisation in South Africa

Byron Botha and Eric Schaling

10211: Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa

Byron Botha, Lauren Kuhn and Daan Steenkamp

10157: Developments in debt issuance costs of South African banks

Eyollan Naidoo, Mukelani Nkuna and Daan Steenkamp

10144: Building Credibility and Influencing Expectations The Evolution of Central Bank Communication

Monique Reid and Pierre Siklos

10142: Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa

Johannes Fedderke

10024: The monetary policy of the South African Reserve Bank stance communication and credibility

Alberto Coco and Nicola Viegi

10023: The impacts of unconditional cash transfers on schooling in adolescence and young adulthood Evidence from South Africa

Neryvia Pillay

10001: Climate change and its implications for central banks in emerging and developing economies

Channing Arndt, Christopher Loewald and Konstantin Makrelov

9998: Term premium and rate expectation estimates from the South African yield curve

Luchelle Soobyah and Daan Steenkamp

9819: Competition in South African Banking An assessment using the Boone Indicator and PanzarRosse approaches

Mpho Rapapali and Witness Simbanegavi

9818: Developments in bank funding costs in South Africa

Mpho Rapapali and Daan Steenkamp

9392: The impact of capital flow reversal shocks in South Africa a stock and flowconsistent analysis

Konstantin Makrelov, Rob Davies and Laurence Harris