Accommodation of Right-Wing Populist Rhetoric: Evidence From Parliamentary Speeches in Germany

Emilio Esguerra, Felix Hagemeister, Julian Heid and Tim Leffler
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Felix Hagemeister: Süddeutsche Zeitung Digitale Medien
Julian Heid: LMU Munich
Tim Leffler: LMU Munich

No 435, Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series from CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition

Abstract: We provide novel evidence on how right-wing (populist) rhetoric spreads. Using several thousand speeches from the German parliament, we show that exposure to politicians from the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads mainstream politicians to adopt a more distinctively right-wing populist language. We measure similarity to right-wing populist rhetoric via cosine similarity to both parliamentary speeches by the AfD and extremist speeches at far-right rallies, as well as using a populist dictionary method. To induce individual-level variation in exposure to AfD politicians, we exploit a quasi-exogenous allocation rule for committee members in the German parliament. Comparing a politician with the highest to one with the lowest relative AfD exposure increases the cosine similarity to right-wing populist speech by 0.1 of a standard deviation. Our results seem specific to right-wing populism and suggest strategic motives related to local electoral competition behind rhetorical changes among individual politicians.

Keywords: right-wing populism; AfD; Germany; NLP (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-10-23
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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