The Effects of Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Shocks in BRICS economies

Kaelo Mpho Ntwaepelo ()

No em-dp2021-20, Economics Discussion Papers from Department of Economics, University of Reading

Abstract: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of the macroprudential and monetary policy shocks, in a framework where the policies target both the price and financial stability objectives. I employ the system-generalised method of moments (system-GMM) technique in a dynamic panel data model, over the 1990-2016 period. The study uses the novel integrated macroprudential policy dataset (iMaPP) in the context of the five major emerging market economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). The results indicate that a contractionary monetary policy shock eliminates the excessive growth of credit and house prices but increases the price levels (price puzzle). The presence of a price puzzle after a contractionary monetary policy shock indicates that there is a trade-off between the financial stability and price stability objectives. Similarly, the impulse response function analysis reveals the presence of a negative correlation between the financial variables and output, after a contractionary macroprudential policy shock. Overall, the empirical findings suggest that there is a policy conflict when the policies respond to additional objectives beyond their primary targets. It is therefore beneficial for each policy to focus on its primary objective while considering the spillover effects of the other policy.

Keywords: emerging markets; macroprudential policy; financial stability; monetary policy; price stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E58 E61 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2021-11-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-cis, nep-fdg, nep-mac and nep-mon
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