Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets

Sergio Rebelo (), Martin Eichenbaum and Craig Burnside

No 114, 2012 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: Some booms in housing prices are followed by busts. Others are not. In either case it is difficult to find observable fundamentals that are correlated with price movements. We develop a model consistent with these observations. Agents have heterogeneous expectations about long-run fundamentals but change their views because of "social dynamics." Agents meet randomly. Those with tighter priors are more likely to convert others to their beliefs. The model generates a "fad": the fraction of the population with a particular view rises and then falls. Depending on which agent is correct about fundamentals, these fads generate boom-busts or protracted booms.

Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
https://red-files-public.s3.amazonaws.com/meetpapers/2012/paper_114.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets (2016)
Working Paper: Understanding booms and busts in housing markets (2012)
Working Paper: Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets (2011)
Working Paper: Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets (2011)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed012:114

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in 2012 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christian Zimmermann ().