The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium
Matteo Maggiori
No 75, 2013 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics
Abstract:
I show that the US dollar earns a safety premium versus a basket of foreign currencies and that this premium is particularly high in times of global financial stress. These findings support the view that the dollar acts as the reserve currency for the international monetary system and that it is a natural safe haven in times of crisis, when a global flight to quality toward the reserve currency takes place. During such episodes, investors are willing to earn negative expected returns as compensation for holding safe dollars. I estimate the time varying dollar safety premium by using instrumental variable techniques to condition information down.
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon and nep-opm
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed013:75
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More papers in 2013 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
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