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Noisy News in Business Cycles

Luca Gambetti ()

No 1406, 2014 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: We investigate the role of ``noise'' shocks as a source of business cycle fluctuations. To do so we set up a simple model of imperfect information and derive restrictions for identifying the noise shock in a VAR model. The novelty of our approach is that identification is reached by means of dynamic rotations of the reduced form residuals. We find that noise shocks generate hump-shaped responses of GDP, consumption and investment and account for about a third of their prediction error variance at business cycle horizons.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-mac
Date: 2014
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Related works:
Working Paper: Noisy News in Business Cycles (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Noisy News in Business Cycles (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Noisy News in Business cycles (2013) Downloads
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