Incarceration and Low Skilled Labor Markets: A Macroeconomic Analysis
Amanda Michaud and
Bulent Guler
2014 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics
Abstract:
Between 1980 and 2005, the incarceration rate in the United States increased fourfold. At this level, 6.6% of the population will be imprisoned for a year or more during their lifetime. We provide a comprehensive analysis of the eects of increased incarceration rates on all actors in labor markets: criminals, non-criminals, and employers. To do so, we expand a search and matching model to include incarceration. Incarceration has two direct eects: (1) it interrupts employment relationships; and (2) it deteriorates human capital. We estimate the model by indirect inference using variation in incarceration rates across demographic groups. Simulating our model will allow us to measure the eect incarceration has had on broad labor market trends and to predict future eects for dierent policy scenarios.
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed014:859
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