External Equity Financing Costs, Financial Flows, and Asset Prices

Xiaoji Lin, Fan Yang and Frederico Belo
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Fan Yang: University of Hong Kong
Frederico Belo: University of Minnesota and NBER

No 863, 2014 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: The recent financial crisis in 2007-2008 suggests that financial shocks, the aggregate disturbances that originate directly in the financial sector, can play an important role as a source of business cycle fluctuations. In this paper, we explore the impact of aggregate shocks to the cost of equity issuance on asset prices in the cross section. We document that an empirical proxy of equity issuance cost shocks forecast future economic activity (output, consumption, and investment), and is a source of systematic risk: exposure to this shock helps price the cross section of stock returns including book-to-market, size, investment, and cash-flow portfolios. We propose a dynamic investment-based model that features an aggregate shock to the firms' cost of external equity issuance, and a collateral constraint. Our central finding is that time-varying external financing costs are crucial for the model to quantitatively capture the joint dynamics of firms' real quantities, financing flows, and asset prices. Furthermore, the model also replicates the failure of the unconditional CAPM in pricing the cross-sectional expected returns.

Date: 2014
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-opm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed014:863

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