Sentiments in SVARs

Patrick Fève

No 175, 2016 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: This paper investigates the contribution of sentiments shocks to US fluctuations in a Structural VAR setup. Sentiments shocks are identified as shocks orthogonal to fundamentals that accounts for most of the variance of confidence. We assess our identification procedure from simulation experiments and show that it performs pretty well. From actual data, we obtain that, contrary to news shocks on total factor productivity, sentiments shocks explain very little of quantities and prices. Sentiments shocks mostly appear as an idiosyncratic component of confidence. These results are robust to various perturbations of the benchmark model.

Date: 2016
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Journal Article: Sentiments in SVARs (2019)
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