City location and economic development
David Nagy
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David Nagy: Princeton University
No 307, 2016 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics
Abstract:
I present a dynamic model of the U.S. economy with trade, labor mobility, endogenous growth and realistic geography to examine the relationship between spatial frictions, city formation, and aggregate development. In the model, a subset of locations endogenously specialize in innovative industries that are subject to economies of scale. This leads to the formation and development of cities. Spatial frictions affect innovation, thus aggregate growth, by shaping the locations and sizes of cities. I take the model to historical U.S. data at a 20 by 20 arc minute spatial resolution. I show that the model can quantitatively replicate the large population reallocation toward the West and the rapid urbanization in the 19th century, as well as various moments of the location and growth of newly forming cities. I use the model to quantify the effects of railroad construction and international trade on city formation, aggregate output, and growth. Results indicate that railroads were responsible for 23% of U.S. growth before the Civil War, while international trade accounted for 1.4% of U.S. growth. I also show that the formation and development of cities amplified the effects of railroads and international trade on real GDP by about 40%.
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed016:307
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