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Noise-Ridden Lending Cycles

Jochen Guentner and Elena Afanasyeva
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Jochen Guentner: Johannes Kepler University Linz
Elena Afanasyeva: Goethe University Frankfurt

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Jochen Güntner

No 1211, 2017 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: In this paper, we use a neoclassical investment model to study the effects of imperfect information on the lending behaviour of financial intermediaries. We start by developing intuition in partial equilibrium. We model a rational financial intermediary with limited knowledge of the current state of the economy. In response to a noise shock, the intermediary lowers the interest rates on risky loans and extends relatively more credit, both of which are unaffected under perfect information. This credit boom is driven by informational rather than financial frictions and accompanied by higher aggregate default and decrease in credit spreads. We further show that these noise-ridden credit booms also survive in the general equilibrium version of the model.

Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed017:1211

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