Why Does U.S Public Debt Flow to China?

Xin Tang and Marina Azzimonti
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Xin Tang: International Monetary Fund

No 805, 2017 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: We show that the massive flows of U.S public debt to China can arise as an equilibrium outcome of a model where governments issue debt to help domestic entrepreneurs insure against idiosyncratic investment risks. Precautionary motive of entrepreneurs pushes down equilibrium interest rate. Hence in autarky, the country with lower investment risks (the U.S) has higher interest rate and lower stock of debt. When it integrates with a country with higher investment risks (China), the extra precautionary demand drives the interest rate down further, lowering the borrowing cost. As a result, the U.S issues more debt, and much of these debt flows to China.

Date: 2017
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More papers in 2017 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
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