The Role of Remittances in Household Resilience to Extreme Weather in the Kyrgyz Republic: Evidence from Panel Data

Kamalbek Karymshakov, Kijin Kim, Dina Azhgaliyeva and Dastan Aseinov
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Kamalbek Karymshakov: Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University
Kijin Kim: Asian Development Bank
Dina Azhgaliyeva: Asian Development Bank
Dastan Aseinov: Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University

No 858, ADB Economics Working Paper Series from Asian Development Bank

Abstract: Household resilience to extreme weather events depends critically on financial access, yet the role of remittances in shaping expenditure responses to such events remains insufficiently understood. This study examines how remittances are associated with household expenditure patterns under precipitation extremes in the Kyrgyz Republic, using nationally representative panel household survey data (2019–2023). Exploiting exogenous variation in remittance flows generated by historical migration networks and exchange rate movements, the analysis identifies a context-dependent buffering role of remittances. Remittances may help sustain household expenditure during periods of extreme weather, with the strongest protective effects observed among rural and high-altitude communities. However, rural households receiving remittances during excess rainfall episodes appear to reduce their expenditure shares on education and health. The middle-income households exhibit the strongest remittance-climate buffering patterns, while the poorest households show limited ability to leverage remittances for meaningful expenditure reallocation—likely reflecting the insufficiency of remittances relative to the scale of climate-induced losses.

Keywords: remittances; climate risks; Central Asia; Kyrgyz Republic; highland communities; precipitation; drought; weather extremes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 D14 F24 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43
Date: 2026-08-24
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:adbewp:023539

DOI: 10.22617/WPS260363-2

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