Sectoral Debt Capacity and Business Cycles: Developing Asia and the World Economy

Bada Han, Rashad Ahmed (), Yothin Jinjarak and Joshua Aizenman
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Rashad Ahmed: US Department of the Treasury

No 681, ADB Economics Working Paper Series from Asian Development Bank

Abstract: This paper reviews the patterns of sectoral debts and growth and the mechanisms explaining the adverse effects of debt burdens on growth rates. The empirical analysis covers a sample of 55 emerging and frontier market economies. Future economic growth is more sensitive to rising household debt than corporate debt. However, these effects are highly heterogenous across economies and depend on relative income. For the developing economies with a gross domestic product per capita in 2010 below $10,000 (purchasing power parity-adjusted in 2017 international dollar), the coefficients of all types of sectoral debts are negative and significant at least at the 5% level. For developing economies at higher income levels, household debts matter more than other sectoral debts for subsequent economic growth.

Keywords: household debts; corporate debts; public debts; financial stability; credit cycles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H63 H68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2023-05-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:adbewp:0681

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