Intra-Regional Trade in East Asia: The Decoupling Fallacy, Crisis, and Policy Challenges

Prema-chandra Athukorala and Archanun Kohpaiboon

No 177, ADBI Working Papers from Asian Development Bank Institute

Abstract: This paper examines the export experience of East Asian economies in the aftermaths of the crisis against the backdrop of a systematic analysis of precrisis trade patterns. The analysis is motivated by the “decoupling” thesis, which was a popular theme in Asian policy circles in the lead-up to the onset of the recent financial crisis, and aims to probe three key issues: Was the East Asian trade integration story that underpinned the decoupling thesis simply a statistical artifact or the massive export contraction caused by an overreaction of traders to the global economic crisis and/or by the drying up of trade credit, which overpowered the cushion provided by intra-regional trade? What are the new policy challenges faced by the East Asian economies? Is there room for an integrated policy response that marks a clear departure from the precrisis policy stance favoring export-oriented growth? The findings serve to caution against a possible costly backlash against openness to foreign trade arising from the newfound enthusiasm for rebalancing growth (redressing the strong bias for exports in development policy), and make a strong case for a well-coordinated strategy to fight new protectionism, as part of a long-term commitment to nondiscriminatory multilateral and unilateral trade liberalization.

Keywords: decoupling; intra-regional trade; growth rebalancing; asia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F15 O19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2009-12-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-sea
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2009/12/11/3416. ... nal.trade.east.asia/ Full text (text/html)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found (http://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2009/12/11/3416.intra.regional.trade.east.asia/ [302 Moved Temporarily]--> https://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2009/12/11/3416.intra.regional.trade.east.asia/ [302 Moved Temporarily]--> https://www.adb.org/adbi/working-paper/2009/12/11/3416.intra.regional.trade.east.asia/)

Related works:
Working Paper: Intra-Regional Trade in East Asia: The Decoupling Fallacy, Crisis, and Policy Challenges (2009)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0177

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in ADBI Working Papers from Asian Development Bank Institute Kasumigaseki Building 8F, 3-2-5, Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6008, Japan. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ADB Institute ().