Liberalization and Regulation of Capital Flows: Lessons for Emerging Market Economies
Rakesh Mohan and
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Rakesh Mohan: Asian Development Bank Institute
No 186, ADBI Working Papers from Asian Development Bank Institute
Capital flows to emerging market economies (EMEs) have been characterized by high volatility since the 1980s. In recent years (especially since 2003), although gross as well as net capital flows to the EMEs have increased, they could not be absorbed domestically. Overall, savings have flowed uphill from EMEs to advanced economies, challenging the conventional view that capital flows to EMEs are always beneficial through augmentation of their resources leading to greater investment. Full capital account liberalization can impart avoidable volatility and have an adverse impact on growth prospects of EMEs. Available evidence is strongly in favor of a calibrated and well-sequenced approach to opening up the capital account and its active management, along with complementary reforms in other sectors. Greater caution is needed in the liberalization of debt flows.
Despite much advice to the contrary, most EMEs manage their capital accounts actively to cushion their economies from undue volatility, including interventions in the foreign exchange markets accompanied by sterilization. Sound macroeconomic and financial policies-accompanied by prudent capital account management, greater exchange rate flexibility, purposive use of prudential regulation, and continued financial market development practiced by most Asian EMEs over the past decade-have cushioned their economies from the current global financial crisis that started in 2007. They have successfully achieved a virtuous circle of continuing growth, low and stable inflation, and financial stability. How these elements can be best combined will depend on the country and on the period: There is no "one size fits all."
Such a discretionary approach does put a great premium on the skill of policymakers and can run the risk of markets perceiving central bank actions becoming uncomfortably unpredictable. Such risk is mitigated by a record of successful management.
Keywords: capital flows emerging markets; liberalization regulation capital flows; emerging markets capital account management; capital flows; emerging market economies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E42 E44 E52 E58 F30 F40 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac, nep-mon, nep-reg and nep-sea
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Chapter: Liberalization and Regulation of Capital Flows: Lessons for Emerging Market Economies (2012)
Working Paper: Liberalization and Regulation of Capital Flows: Lessons for Emerging Market Economies (2010)
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