EU-Asia Free Trade Areas? Economic and Policy Considerations

Michael Plummer

No 255, ADBI Working Papers from Asian Development Bank Institute

Abstract: This paper analyzes key aspects of the changing economic relationship between the European Union (EU) and Asia, and explores the potential economic ramifications of deeper EU-Asian economic cooperation. The author investigates the possible costs to the EU of remaining “disengaged” from the Asian integration process and the likely impact of multi-nested EU-Asian trade agreements. His empirical review of CGE models revealed trivial effects of several possible EU-Asian accords (e.g., EU-India, EU-ASEAN, EU-Republic of Korea). In part, this is a result of relatively small trade shares, open markets, and restrictions in the models, particularly in that they excluded behind-the-border effects. He also presents two CGE models that estimate the potential negative effects of Asian/Asia-Pacific regional accords on the EU, and likewise found small effects. Nevertheless, using a highly-disaggregated (partial-equilibrium) approach, he argues that high-quality FTAs in Asia could be quite detrimental to the EU, particularly in key sectors. The push toward a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific could be particularly worrisome to the EU. It is therefore concluded that it makes sense for the EU to be more aggressive in pursuing prospective trade agreements with Asia.

Keywords: asia eu economic cooperation; asia eu trade; free trade areas (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27 pages
Date: 2010-12-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-int and nep-sea
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Related works:
Working Paper: EU-Asia Free Trade Areas? Economic and Policy Considerations (2010)
Working Paper: EU-Asia Free Trade Areas? Economic and Policy Considerations (2010)
Working Paper: EU-Asia Free Trade Areas? Economic and Policy Considerations (2010)
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