Stay at Home if You Can: COVID-19 Stay-at-Home Guidelines and Local Crime
Carlos Díaz (),
Sebastian Fossati () and
Nicolás Trajtenberg ()
Additional contact information
Nicolás Trajtenberg: University of Manchester
No 2021-8, Working Papers from University of Alberta, Department of Economics
Government responses to the COVID-19 pandemic had an unprecedented impact on mobility patterns with implications for public safety and crime dynamics in countries across the planet. This paper explores the effect of stay-at-home guidelines on thefts and robberies at the neighborhood level in a Latin American city. We exploit neighborhood heterogeneity in the ability of working adults to comply with stay-at-home recommendations and use difference-in differences and event study designs to identify the causal effect of COVID-19 mobility restrictions on the monthly number of thefts and robberies reported to police across neighborhoods in Montevideo (Uruguay) in 2020. Our results show that neighborhoods with a higher share of residents with work-from-home jobs experienced a larger reduction in reported thefts in relation to neighborhoods with a lower share of residents with work-from-home jobs. In contrast, both groups of neighborhoods experienced a similar reduction in the number of reported robberies. These findings cast light on opportunity structures for crime but also on how crime during the pandemic is disproportionately affecting more vulnerable areas and households.
Keywords: crime; rational choice; COVID-19; lockdown; crime opportunities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H76 K42 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 72 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
https://sites.ualberta.ca/~econwps/2021/wp2021-08.pdf Full text (application/pdf)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:albaec:2021_008
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers from University of Alberta, Department of Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joseph Marchand ().