CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) IN NIGERIA: AN EXPLORATION OF THE INFECTION AND FATALITY RATES

G.T. Ijaiya (), R, A. Bello, M.A. Ijaiya and T. A. Ijaiya
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G.T. Ijaiya: DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, Postal: UNIVERSITY OF ILORIN, NIGERIA, https://www.unilorineconsworkingpapers.com.ng/5.html
R, A. Bello: DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, Postal: UNIVERSITY OF ILORIN, NIGERIA, https://www.unilorineconsworkingpapers.com.ng/5.html
M.A. Ijaiya: RESIDENT DOCTOR, DEPARTMENT OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH, Postal: UNIVERSITY OF ILORIN TEACHING HOSPITAL, ILORIN, NIGERIA, https://www.unilorineconsworkingpapers.com.ng/5.html
T. A. Ijaiya: REASERCH ASSISTANT AND POSTGRADUATE STUDENT, Postal: DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN, NIGERIA, https://www.unilorineconsworkingpapers.com.ng/5.html

No 34, Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Ilorin

Abstract: This study examined the impact of confirmed cases of COVID-19 on the rate of fatality in Nigeria in 2020, using a time subscript (t ) and a difference-in-difference estimator that describe cases of fatality as a function of the initial conditions of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the daily increase in the new confirmed cases of COVID-19. The results obtained indicate that the initial conditions of confirmed cases of COVID-19 converge more to the equilibrium position given the positive sign than the daily changes, which also implies that the initial conditions of the confirmed cases of COVID-19 led to more fatality cases than the increase in the new confirmed cases of COVID-19. Addressing this increase will require more enlightenment on the guidelines for the prevention of the spread of COVID-19 in the country, the establishment of more isolation and testing centres and the invention of drugs and vaccines for the cure of COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19; Confirmed Cases; Fatality; Time Subscript; Difference-in-Difference Estimator Nigeria (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I15 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 9 pages
Date: 2023-12-05
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