Scenarios for an Energy Policy Concept of the German Government

Stephan Nagl (stephan.nagl@thuega.de), Michaela Fürsch, Moritz Paulus (moritz.paulus@web.de), Jan Richter (jan.richter@uni-muenster.de), Johannes Trueby and Dietmar Lindenberger (dietmar.lindenberger@uni-koeln.de)
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Michaela Fürsch: Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln
Dietmar Lindenberger: Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln, http://www.ewi.uni-koeln.de

No 2010-6, EWI Working Papers from Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI)

Abstract: In this working paper we demonstrate how challenging greenhouse gas reduction targets of up to 95% until 2050 can be achieved in the German electricity sector. In the analysis, we focus on the main requirements to reach such challenging targets. To account for interdependencies between the electricity market and the rest of the economy, different models were used to account for feedback loops with all other sectors. We include scenarios with different runtimes and retrofit costs for existing nuclear plants to determine the effects of a prolongation of nuclear power plants in Germany. Key findings for the electricity sector include the importance of a European-wide coordinated electricity grid extension and the exploitation of regional comparative cost effects for renewable sites. Due to political restrictions, nuclear energy will not be available in Germany in 2050. However, the nuclear life time extension has a positive impact on end consumer electricity prices as well as economic growth in the medium term, if retrofit costs do not exceed certain limits.

Keywords: Roadmap 2050; GHG reduction; renewable energies; carbon capture and storage; power plant fleet optimization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 Q40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 19 pages
Date: 2010-12-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:ewikln:2010_006

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