Attacking Poverty in Bolivia – Past Evidence and Future Prospects: Lessons from a CGE Analysis

Rainer Theile and Manfred Wiebelt ()
Additional contact information
Rainer Theile: IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana

No 6/2003, Documentos de trabajo from Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana

Abstract: This paper reviews Bolivia’s economic and social development over the period 1985-99, and investigates the country’s future prospects for pro-poor growth using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. It turns our that past economic growth cannot be called pro-poor. Model simulations show that under optimistic assumptions the growth and poverty goals envisaged in the Bolivian poverty reduction strategy may be achieved, but that performance wick fall short of expectations once external shocks are taken into account. The evolution of poverty is likely to remain uneven, with considerable improvements in urban areas and a high persistence is rural areas. Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC

Keywords: Growth; Poverty Income Distribution CGE Analysis Bolivia; Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D58 O54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2003-06-01
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo/assets_iisec/publicacion/2003-6.pdf Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:iisecd:2003_006

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Documentos de trabajo from Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana Av 14 de septiembre 4807, La Paz, Bolivia. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tirza Aguilar ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).