Short-Run Oil Price Drivers: South America’s Energy Integration

Alejandro Mercado () and Francisco Javier Aliaga Lordemann

No 10/2009, Documentos de trabajo from Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana

Abstract: The aim of this paper seeks to analyse how the energy price’s cojuntural behaviour and structural conditions affect the short-run and mid-run overview of the energy integration process in South America (SA). For these porpoise we - first describe the world-wide energy agenda and the effect of current oil price swings and the corresponding natural gas adjustment – next we discuss about the regional stakeholders perspective of energy integration. We used two methodological approaches – first we calculate the oil prices according to their structural conditions or fundamental – second we detect the right ARIMA model with outliers and calendar effects for the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price and the Henry Hub (HH) natural gas price. With this information we develop an analysis proposal based on their underlying growth rate and inertia. Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC

Keywords: West Texas Intermediate; Henry Hub; Energy Integration; Conjuncture Analysis; Signal Extraction; Underlying Evolution; Underlying Growth; ARIMA Models and Outliers; market fundamentals; Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C49 C53 L69 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2009-07
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Journal Article: Short-Run Oil Price Drivers: South America's Energy Integration (2009)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:iisecd:2009_010

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