북한의 무역과 산업정책의 연관성 분석(Analysis on North Korea’s Trade and Industrial Policy)

Jangho Choi (), Soo Ho Lim (), Seogki Lee (), Yoojeong Choi () and So Jeong Im ()
Additional contact information
Jangho Choi: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Soo Ho Lim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Seogki Lee: Korea Institute for Industrial Economics & Trade
Yoojeong Choi: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
So Jeong Im: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

No 17-6, Policy Analyses from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Abstract: Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 수출입 통계를 비롯해서 북한과 관련된 얼마 되지 않는 자료들을 여러 각도로 분석함으로써 김정은 정권의 산업정책이 얼마만큼 실현되었는지 분석하고자 최초로 시도했다는 점에 차별점이 있다. 본 연구는 정성적인 면에서 지금까지 북한의 대외관계 발전전략이 산업정책에 갖는 함의와 노동신문과 경제연구를 통해 김정은 집권 전후 산업정책에 어떠한 변화가 있었는지에 대한 분석을 시도했다. 또한 정량적인 면에서 통계적으로 북한의 수출입을 산업별·사용목적별·기술수준별 등 다각도로 분석함으로써 북한 내부 산업정책의 변천을 추리했다. 무엇보다 이 연구가 우리 정부의 대북정책 수립과 관련해서 보탬이 되는 정보를 제공하기를 희망한다. English Abstract: 2017 marks the 5th year of Kim Jong Un’s reign, and evaluating the economic performance during this period is meaningful in that by doing so we can measure the future direction of the North Korean economy. However, despite the great efforts made to survey the North Korean economy, there is still only a superficial understanding regarding its economic size, industrial policies, industrial situation, and factories. The purpose of this study is to provide a new type of perspective through analyzing new kinds of data to help evaluate the North Korean economy. To this end, we provide a comparison between the industrial policies of the Kim Il Sung and Kim Jong Il regimes and the industrial policies emphasized since Kim Jong Un came to power. We then analyze the North Korean import and export data by industry, technology level, and utility purposes. Finally, this research considers the changes in North Korea’s industrial policy and import and export statistics to assess the economic situation of North Korea and the outcomes of its industrial policy after Kim Jong Un’s incumbency, and predicts the effect of sanctions on North Korea’s economy.

Keywords: North Korea; Trade; Industrial Policy; North Korean economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 210 pages
Date: 2017-11-28
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://ssrn.com/abstract=3087788 Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:kieppa:2017_006

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Policy Analyses from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy [30147] 3rd Floor Building C Sejong National Research Complex 370 Sicheong-daero Sejong-si, Korea. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Juwon Seo ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).