개방경제에서 인구구조 변화가 경상수지 및 대외자산 축적에 미치는 영향 분석 및 정책적 시사점(The Effects of Demographic Change on Current Account and Foreign Asset Accumulation)

Hyosang Kim (), Da Young Yang () and Eunjung Kang ()
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Hyosang Kim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Postal: Building C, Sejong National Research Complex, 370, Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si,Korea, http://www.kiep.go.kr/index.do
Da Young Yang: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Postal: Building C, Sejong National Research Complex, 370, Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si,Korea, http://www.kiep.go.kr/index.do
Eunjung Kang: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Postal: Building C, Sejong National Research Complex, 370, Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si,Korea, http://www.kiep.go.kr/index.do

No 19-22, Policy Analyses from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Abstract: 본 연구는 인구구조 변화가 경상수지 및 순대외자산에 미치는 중장기적 영 향을 실증분석 및 이론모형을 통해 살펴본다. 인구구조는 경제가 발전함에 따라 ① 고출산율·고사망률 ② 고출산율·저사망률 ③ 저출산율·저사망률 3단계 전환기를 거치며, 진행 과정에서 인구 증가와 고령화가 발생한다. 한국은 기대 수명 증가와 출산율의 급격한 감소로 인해 고령화가 세계에서 가장 빠르게 진행되고 있으며, 향후 노년부양률이 급격하게 증가할 것으로 전망된다. This study investigates the long-term effects of demographic changes on current account and net foreign assets. Along with economic developments, there are three stages of the demographic changes; (1) high birth rate and high mortality rate, (2) high birth rate and low mortality rate, and (3) low birth rate and low mortality rate. Population growth and aging occur in the process. Korea is one of the countries that experienced the fastest demographic changes with increasing life expectancy and decreasing fertility rates in the world. The elderly support rate is also expected to increase rapidly.

Keywords: 고령화; 국제자금흐름; 경상수지; 소득불평등; 사회보장제도 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 131 pages
Date: 2019-12-30
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