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Is there a Diffusion of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa? Empirical Evidence in the Period 1972-2007

Raul Caruso (), Ilaria Petrarca and Roberto Ricciuti

No 4/2013, NEPS Working Papers from Network of European Peace Scientists

Abstract: We show the existence of a diffusion process of military dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1972 through 2007, using panel data probit estimation and a Markov chain transition model. This process is shortly-lived, since we observe an overall trend that reduces the number of military regimes. With regard to economic correlates, we also find that Manufacturing share of GDP, Primary share of GDP positively affect the probability of military dictatorship, and Openness to trade, whereas the British colonial origin are negatively associated.

Keywords: Military rule; Africa; Diffusion of government institutions. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F50 H11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2013-09-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr and nep-his
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