Climate Change and Land Use Pattern in Brazil

Eduardo Barbosa, José Feres, Eduardo Haddad and Antonio Paez

No 12-2012, TD NEREUS from Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS)

Abstract: The objective of this dissertation is to assess the impacts of climate change on the land use pattern in Brazil. To do so an economic model for optimal land use allocation was used. This model was derived from the profit maximization problem of a representative agent that has six options of land use: soybean, corn, sugar cane, other crops, pasture land and forests. From the estimated coefficients of the model simulations were carried using forecast data for temperature and precipitation in three periods of times 2010-39, 2040-69 and 2070-99. The results varied greatly in different regions but in general the area for pasture land increased while the areas for forests declined.

Keywords: impact assessment; climate change; land use pattern; Brazil (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:nereus:2012_012

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