The Dynamics of Heterogeneous Political Party Support and Egocentric Economic Evaluations: the Scottish Case

Georgios Chrysanthou and María Guilló

No 16-3, QM&ET Working Papers from University of Alicante, D. Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory

Abstract: We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party support using longitudinal data from the BHPS during 1999-2006. Exploiting the Scottish extension sample, available since the establishment of the new Scottish Parliament in 1999, we study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations are more important for the male electorate, while initial party affiliation constitutes the overriding determinant of party support among the partisan electorates regardless of gender. The electors hold the incumbent governing party accountable for their personal financial situation, but financial security and optimism augment the nationalist propensity of the partisan electorate.

Keywords: egocentric economic evaluations; political preferences; unobserved heterogeneity; voting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 C25 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2016-10-18
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:qmetal:2016_003

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