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Causalities and casualties: Media attention and terrorism, 1970–2010

Christoph P. Pfeiffer ()
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Christoph P. Pfeiffer: Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg, Postal: Helmut Schmidt University Hamburg – University FAF Hamburg, Department of Economics, Hostenhofweg 85, 22043 Hamburg, Germany

No 127/2012, Working Paper from Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg

Abstract: The results of empirical research on whether media attention encourages terrorism differ according to the study period. The present contribution identifies which episodes from 1970 to 2010 are characterized by Granger-causalities. Structural breaks are systematically taken into account, and both domestic and transnational terrorism are considered. Data on terrorism are drawn from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD), while the media attention variable is constructed by the number of New York Times’ (NYT) articles that contain the word ‘terrorism’. A bidirectional Granger-causality between transnational terrorism and media attention was found only from 1999:09 to 2002:07, indicating a temporary effect of 9/11.

Keywords: terrorism; media; Bai-Perron test; GTD; Toda-Yamamoto procedure; NYT (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 D74 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2012-11-01
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