Economic and solar cycles: mechanism and facts of strong relations (1798-2013)

Vladimir Belkin ()
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Vladimir Belkin: Chelyabinsk branch of the Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (BSF IE UB RAS)

Published Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: In the article the author proves that there are strong relations between main types of economic cycles (seasonal, Kitchin’s, Juglar’s, Kuznets’, Kondratiev’s) and solar cycles on the ground of statistics and astrophysical data for a long period of time (till 215 years). The author explains physical mechanism of observed connections in terms of modern heliobiology.

Keywords: theory of business cycle; seasonal economic cycles; Kitchin’s cycles; Kondratiev’s cycles; long waves in economy; world product cycles; GDP of the USA; cycles of Russia industrial production; forecasting of economic crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 15 pages
Date: 2014-09
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