Complexity, Climate Change and the Precautionary Principle
John Quiggin
No WPC07_3, Climate Change Working Papers from Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland
Abstract:
The precautionary principle has been proposed as a basis making decisions about environmental health under conditions of uncertainty, but remains controversial. This paper shows how the precautionary principle may be interpreted as a guide to decision making in complex systems characterised by unfavorable surprises. The application of the precautionary principle to the problem of climate change is discussed.
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Working Paper: Complexity, climate change and the precautionary principle (2007) 
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